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Clearly Pro View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Clearly Pro Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03/July/2007 at 5:48am
Please help me learn how the president affects gas prices. I must have missed that day in school. I was under the impression supply and demand changed prices more than politics.
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Ken Harris View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Ken Harris Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03/July/2007 at 1:51pm
Clearly:

Supply and demand is still the driver of this market. Most people are still not aware that we are in "Peak Oil" already. That means that the world's maximum production capacity has now been reached, is on the way down from here. The 85 million barrels/day we are at right now will never be exceeded. In fact, within about 5 years from now it will likely be at 70 million/day and dropping. With the Chinese adding 500,000+ new cars to the road EVERY MONTH and rising, what do you think this is going to do to the gas price in the very near future?

Gas will be somewhere between $4 to $6/gallon before this year is out. If no major hurricane hits, probably closer to $4. Other wise, $6 is more likely.

If we dodge the bullet this Summer, expect the next crisis to happen this winter. At that time, supply and demand will cause oil to spike close to $100/barrel. Presidential politics have nothing to do with whats coming, and cannot stop it either. This is all supply and demand driven. A lack of supply and increasing world demand assures that we are about to enter the "Long Emergency".

Get yourself a very fuel efficient car, because my guess is you will see fuel rationing in the USA before 2008 is through.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote pilediver Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03/July/2007 at 4:53pm
Originally posted by Ken Harris Ken Harris wrote:

Actually, most of the guys that have bought Vortex's these last 2 years, and are stuck with the big monthly payments are soon going to be in trouble. Gas is set to jump up to $6+ per gallon either this year or next at the latest. This will assure the start of a very deep recession/depression in the USA, especially with the deeping housing problems developing there.Only a fool would take on a new high TM payment at this time. There will be lots of used Vortexs on the market by next year with low miles on them that can be purchased for 25 to 40 cents on the dollar at that time. I will pick up a couple of near new units at that time.


    

Edited by pilediver - 03/July/2007 at 5:14pm
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Ken Harris View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Ken Harris Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03/July/2007 at 4:59pm
Looks like what will happen to Bob when he discovers I'm right.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cmaster Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03/July/2007 at 8:18pm
Yeah, that's it

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cleanaz Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04/July/2007 at 1:42am
Elections have nothing to do with gas prices?  Now you are sounding like Ken, no offense Ken.  Politics have nothing to do with it?  What are you smoking?  Look at the records during election years, yup, gas prices go down.  It happened during the recent elections, gas prices stabilized and went down.  Make it a Presidential election and you are bound to see prices stabilize and drop even more. 
 
No one can predict this stuff, and I could be wrong.  I am sure of the fact that prices will go up in the future due to supply and demand.  Oil is a finite resource (meaning not renewable) so it is bound to happen.  I just don't think that it will happen that soon. 
 
It is knee jerk reactions that cause a crisis, not the shortage.  Here in Arizona we had a supply line break in Yuma that supplied a portion of all of our gas in the Phoenix area.  There was no shortage, but the panic from the public caused a shortage.  Everyone ran out to fill thier tanks and bought extra containers and filled those.  The trucks couldn't fill the stations fast enough to keep up with demand, therefore causing the shortage.  I had to go out at 1 a.m. just to find a station that had gas and fill up my truck so I could make it to work the next day.  There were lines a mile long during the day!  Literally! 
 
They are also building an oil refinery in Yuma in partnership with Mexico.  Mexico has plenty of oil.  They unfortunately pulled out of the deal.  We have the oil, just not enough refineries.   
 
Prepare for the future, but don't be stupid either.  There are more oil fields in Colombia that have not been tapped.  By the way, you can bet that the next war will be in Colombia, unless they AGREE to give it up. 
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Ken Harris View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Ken Harris Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04/July/2007 at 11:24am
In the past, oil prices were very much inluenced in the year before a presidential election. That was true because the supply of oil exceeded the demand for it, therefore controlling the supply would influence the price.

Not anymore.

Thanks to the demand(China primarly) catching up to the maximum supply(Peak oil), all that changes.Demand will be exceeding the supply from thispoint further. That is what sets the price, not elections.The only way to get supply and demand in balance in the future will be for it to sell at very high prices to create demand destruction or to ration it, Rationing does not work well if the supply is dropping on an on-going basis like we have here. Very high prices will be the result. There is no way around it. Electric powered autos will reduce the demand so things will be managed, but high prices are here for good.

Oh, and that thing about Venezuela sharing it's oil? You can forget that. China is in there developing that. That oil is going to China. The contracts have already been signed. Done deal.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cleanaz Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05/July/2007 at 3:08am
Thus the war, Ken.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Ken Harris Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05/July/2007 at 9:45am
America will not go to war with China. China holds the economic future of the USA in it's hands as they continue to buy up the countries assets, including the world's largest holder of dollars. China will do by economics what they could never do by military strength.
    

Edited by Ken Harris - 05/July/2007 at 9:47am
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote John L Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05/July/2007 at 2:46pm

They found a big oil pocket in Texas where everything is suppose to be

 
 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Ken Harris Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05/July/2007 at 6:59pm
Nothing big has come out of Texas in a long time, John. Nothing big will be coming out of there anytime soon either. There will be "something Big" going into Texas soon however. That would be a huge increase of Mexicans. You see the oil in Mexico is running out. All oil exports from there will be ending in 2 to 3 years. After that, 40% of mexico's income is gone and the serious cutbacks will begin there. Many Mexicans will vote with there feet and cross the Rio Grande instead.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cleanaz Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14/July/2007 at 2:02am
Uh, your a little late with that prediction there Ken.  They are already coming across the border as fast as they can run.  I happen to live in Arizona and see it everyday, so good luck trying to scare me with that one.  That is one problem that will blow up if the illegals keep marching in the streets.  They have no right to do so, and us "legals" have had about enough of their crying and complaining.  They get everything for free, while we must pay.  This crap has got to stop.  Good thing we "Americans" can still carry guns, atleast until the democrats get into office.
 
Didn't you Canadians have the same problem with Chinese a while back?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Ken Harris Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14/July/2007 at 1:52pm
Yep.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Hammy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14/July/2007 at 1:58pm
Kenny listens too much of Coast to Coast!      
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